Worst Case Thinking

What’s the worst thing that can hap­pen? What if I don’t do well on this exam? What if he says no? What if I get turned down for the pro­mo­tion, or nobody agrees with me, or I lose every­thing I invested? What is really the worst case?

Worst Case Think­ing is a process that can aid those of you who find your­selves unable to take healthy risks. This sim­ple think­ing model can help you to over­come the neg­a­tive emo­tions that are birthed in illog­i­cal fear.

Over the years, this type of fear has come up count­less times in coach­ing ses­sions. I’ve seen Worst Case Think­ing help many in their lives and careers to risk more, expe­ri­ence more, impact more and grow more. Here is how it works.

The next time you find your­self not want­ing to speak up in a group, or enter into a con­ver­sa­tion with your spouse or teenage daugh­ter, ask your­self this ques­tion: If I do this, what is the worst case scenario?

Chal­lenge your­self to answer the ques­tion as log­i­cally as you can. Then test your answer. Could that really hap­pen? Is it likely? And if that does hap­pen, what does it mean for you? What will you learn or expe­ri­ence as a result of tak­ing that risk?

What I have found is that you may need to ask the ques­tion mul­ti­ple times to get to the real worst case. Then once you are there, you can log­i­cally assess the prob­a­bil­ity of that out­come hap­pen­ing. Most of the time, you will real­ize that the like­li­hood of that worst case out­come is pretty minuscule.

Now, ask your­self one final ques­tion: If the worst case does in fact hap­pen, can you deal with it? If you hon­estly can’t, then don’t take the risk. If you can, and the risk appears to be wise and worth tak­ing, you are now armed with more courage because you know you are pre­pared for any outcome.

Prac­tic­ing Worst Case Think­ing increases your dis­cern­ment and your courage, and I have found it to be very help­ful in all aspects of busi­ness and life.

Try it. What’s the worst that can happen?

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(5 Responses to “Worst Case Thinking”)

  1. Hey Daniel, I’ve enjoyed read­ing your blogs lately. I miss hear­ing the truth and wis­dom that you bring. Those 7:30 am prayer meet­ing always encour­aged me. Any­how, this blog reminds me of some truth that I have been stir­ring in lately. A few weeks ago John Piper taught at our church. He taught out of Romans 8:22 where it talks about all of cre­ation groan­ing as in the pains of child birth. Piper drew out of that the truth that for all believ­ers, all pain is like child birth pain: it leads to life. I have always strug­gled with fear, still do, prob­a­bly will always be a bat­tle but like your “worst case think­ing” the­ory I am very com­forted by know that for us as believer all our pain or any­thing we may fear will lead us to life. When we think of worst case sce­nar­ios or remem­ber that all pain leads to life it makes it so much eas­ier to not fear! I hope I made sense of this in words and I hope you are doing well, tell Sheri hi from me!

    • Daniel says:

      Hello mommy Natalie,
      thank you for your great addi­tion
      to this post. We miss you as well and are enjoy­ing the pics of you, John and your princess on FB.
      Take care,
      Daniel

  2. Janna Rust says:

    I love this thought process and have also found it to work well with my clients … and with me! I think I ask myself “What’s the worst that can hap­pen?” all the time. Most of the time, the worst doesn’t happen!

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